Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 18.446688 20.979286 23.740597 26.976151 30.665443 34.743374 39.596133
2024-11-03 15.423876 18.851545 22.869903 27.933888 34.154084 41.556724 51.053506
2024-11-10 13.292903 17.338805 22.403444 29.222086 38.185003 49.596778 65.282486
2024-11-17 11.230848 15.565822 21.335302 29.599804 41.178727 56.891081 79.946968
2024-11-24 9.184089 13.474542 19.523002 28.708535 42.377387 62.080048 92.846174
2024-12-01 7.555939 11.698045 17.863954 27.761830 43.360076 67.176780 106.648842
2024-12-08 6.439746 10.493761 16.850000 27.609461 45.524357 74.436033 125.186234
2024-12-15 5.620740 9.617277 16.201549 27.927835 48.510888 83.546260 148.553311
2024-12-22 4.883379 8.751014 15.429368 27.912106 50.953983 92.223298 172.979972
2024-12-29 4.423018 8.287123 15.268667 28.942680 55.445821 105.322098 208.114469
2025-01-05 3.921224 7.662614 14.718306 29.163811 58.490837 116.343297 241.625827
2025-01-12 3.392193 6.896617 13.777700 28.468261 59.631082 123.914550 269.838715
2025-01-19 2.970375 6.285954 13.067996 28.176204 61.688862 134.042486 306.391137
2025-01-26 2.714769 5.976011 12.921015 29.055651 66.461680 150.951871 362.080743
2025-02-02 2.516701 5.756297 12.930788 30.295126 72.327721 171.559683 431.460124
2025-02-09 2.273428 5.392470 12.562034 30.604802 76.116997 188.205136 495.316557
2025-02-16 1.980310 4.860528 11.717139 29.618885 76.567671 196.914973 541.067043
2025-02-23 1.727324 4.381217 10.915647 28.592332 76.727317 204.987824 587.311488
2025-03-02 1.552375 4.066804 10.466755 28.396327 79.068366 219.366185 655.154137
2025-03-09 1.422163 3.845455 10.217341 28.692517 82.850427 238.572709 742.353495
2025-03-16 1.292507 3.602584 9.869476 28.651197 85.681742 255.754088 828.047373
2025-03-23 1.218888 3.502000 9.892242 29.688915 91.964593 284.612892 959.100660
2025-03-30 1.122501 3.319104 9.652086 29.899089 95.771230 306.792742 1074.143529